Milazzo vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
64.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milazzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FAN
3 - 3
MIL
46%
26%
28%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MIL
0 - 4
FOR
16%
23%
61%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 0
MIL
65%
21%
14%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
RAA
2 - 2
MIL
44%
27%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
MIL
2 - 1
FCC
66%
21%
14%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PRO
4 - 1
RIM
67%
20%
14%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
USA
1 - 2
PRO
45%
26%
30%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
PRO
0 - 2
SAV
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
PRO
3 - 2
MAN
55%
23%
22%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
USA
1 - 1
PRO
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |