Milazzo vs Neapolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milazzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ARZ
1 - 1
MIL
59%
22%
20%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
MIL
3 - 1
ASM
57%
23%
20%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
EBO
0 - 1
MIL
66%
20%
14%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MIL
1 - 1
FAN
69%
19%
12%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
CAM
2 - 1
MIL
39%
26%
35%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
NEA
1 - 1
GIU
60%
22%
18%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
PAG
1 - 1
NEA
69%
20%
12%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
NEA
3 - 3
CAM
56%
23%
21%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
FON
2 - 1
NEA
35%
24%
40%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
NEA
0 - 0
VIG
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |