Milazzo vs Real Giulianova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
16.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milazzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
GAV
1 - 1
MIL
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
MIL
0 - 1
LAQ
54%
24%
23%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 1
MIL
38%
27%
36%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MIL
0 - 0
APR
71%
18%
11%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
VIG
2 - 1
MIL
26%
26%
49%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Real Giulianova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
GIU
0 - 1
PRG
16%
25%
59%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
RAA
0 - 2
GIU
56%
24%
20%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
GIU
1 - 0
FCC
69%
20%
11%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
FAN
1 - 2
GIU
38%
28%
35%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
GIU
1 - 2
ARZ
26%
25%
49%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -2 |