Milazzo vs Forli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
60.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milazzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 0
MIL
65%
21%
14%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
RAA
2 - 2
MIL
44%
27%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
MIL
2 - 1
FCC
66%
21%
14%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 1
FON
54%
25%
21%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
ACI
0 - 5
MIL
37%
27%
37%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 0
MAN
49%
25%
26%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 0
ACE
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SCA
0 - 5
FOR
20%
25%
56%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
RAV
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
LAN
1 - 3
FOR
32%
26%
43%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |