Milazzo vs Fondi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milazzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
ACI
0 - 5
MIL
37%
27%
37%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
PRG
2 - 1
MIL
78%
15%
7%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MIL
1 - 1
USV
63%
21%
16%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
NEA
1 - 1
MIL
39%
26%
35%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MIL
2 - 2
ARZ
41%
25%
34%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fondi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
FON
2 - 3
APR
38%
24%
37%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
FON
1 - 0
RAA
58%
23%
19%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FCC
2 - 0
FON
34%
25%
40%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
FON
1 - 1
FAN
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
PRG
1 - 1
FON
77%
16%
7%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | +1 |