Europa League Fase Final 1/32
Global 4-1
Milan vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
GEN
2 - 0
ACM
20%
25%
56%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ACM
1 - 2
BOL
76%
16%
7%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
ACM
4 - 1
UDI
68%
20%
13%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
NAP
3 - 1
ACM
16%
25%
59%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
ACM
2 - 1
INT
38%
27%
35%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
FCV
1 - 7
ZUR
23%
24%
53%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2008 |
ZUR
3 - 0
BEL
64%
22%
14%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2008 |
STR
1 - 1
ZUR
40%
27%
34%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
SIO
1 - 3
ZUR
34%
25%
40%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
ZUR
1 - 4
BAS
35%
26%
40%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |