Milan vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2000 |
FCB
0 - 2
ACM
66%
19%
15%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
ACM
0 - 1
TOR
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2000 |
LEE
1 - 0
ACM
33%
28%
39%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
TOR
1 - 3
ACM
26%
27%
48%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2000 |
ACM
4 - 1
BJK
63%
21%
16%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
VIC
2 - 1
BRE
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
BRE
2 - 1
VIC
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2000 |
VIC
3 - 2
FCS
91%
7%
2%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2000 |
ASS
2 - 1
VIC
20%
27%
53%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2000 |
VIC
3 - 2
CES
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |