Coppa Italia Last 16
Global 3-1
Milan vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
6.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1984 |
ACM
0 - 3
JUV
32%
26%
42%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
CAT
1 - 1
ACM
21%
28%
52%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1984 |
VIC
0 - 1
ACM
27%
24%
49%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
ACM
1 - 1
ROM
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
VER
1 - 1
ACM
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1984 |
VIC
0 - 1
ACM
27%
24%
49%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
ASS
0 - 0
VIC
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
VIC
1 - 0
PAL
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1983 |
USF
0 - 2
VIC
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
VIC
3 - 1
GEN
43%
28%
30%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |