Milan vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8.7%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
ROM
0 - 1
ACM
29%
27%
43%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
ACM
1 - 1
FIO
62%
23%
15%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1974 |
JUV
2 - 1
ACM
62%
20%
18%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1974 |
ACM
0 - 0
SAM
76%
16%
8%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
CES
1 - 1
ACM
26%
26%
48%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
VIC
1 - 0
TOR
37%
30%
33%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
NAP
2 - 0
VIC
64%
23%
13%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1974 |
VIC
1 - 2
LAZ
40%
29%
31%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1974 |
CAG
0 - 0
VIC
60%
25%
16%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
VIC
1 - 2
INT
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |