Milan vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1972 |
FIO
2 - 0
ACM
37%
29%
35%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1972 |
ACM
3 - 1
VAR
79%
16%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1972 |
FCC
0 - 0
ACM
14%
27%
60%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
ACM
1 - 0
ATL
79%
15%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
NAP
0 - 0
ACM
26%
29%
45%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1972 |
VIC
0 - 0
TOR
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1972 |
VIC
0 - 1
ROM
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1972 |
VIC
1 - 3
JUV
25%
30%
45%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
VAR
0 - 0
VIC
43%
30%
28%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
VIC
1 - 0
MAN
63%
24%
13%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |