Milan vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.7%
4.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1955 |
GEN
3 - 1
ACM
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1955 |
ACM
3 - 4
SAA
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 47 | 41 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
ACM
2 - 0
SPA
86%
10%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
TRI
1 - 3
ACM
19%
21%
61%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
ACM
1 - 2
INT
67%
17%
15%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1955 |
VIC
0 - 0
NOV
49%
25%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
VIC
1 - 1
FIO
36%
26%
39%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
LAZ
1 - 3
VIC
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
TOR
0 - 0
VIC
64%
21%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
VIC
0 - 0
PAD
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |