Milan vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
12.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
JUV
2 - 2
ACM
74%
15%
11%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
ACM
1 - 0
GEN
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
ACM
3 - 1
BRE
72%
16%
12%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
ATL
0 - 2
ACM
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
ACM
2 - 2
BOL
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1946 |
VIC
0 - 1
TRI
51%
23%
27%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1946 |
SAM
1 - 0
VIC
52%
22%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1946 |
JUV
2 - 1
VIC
86%
9%
5%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1946 |
VIC
1 - 0
BRE
57%
20%
22%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1945 |
VIC
1 - 0
ATL
56%
21%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |