Milan vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
7.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
FIO
3 - 0
ACM
54%
21%
25%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
ACM
4 - 1
ROM
62%
21%
18%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1943 |
GEN
4 - 2
ACM
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1943 |
ACM
2 - 0
JUV
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
ACM
1 - 1
LIV
65%
18%
17%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1943 |
TRI
2 - 0
VIC
51%
23%
26%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1943 |
VIC
3 - 0
FIO
41%
23%
36%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 1943 |
ROM
1 - 0
VIC
78%
13%
9%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 1943 |
VIC
0 - 1
GEN
28%
22%
50%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
VIC
0 - 0
JUV
20%
20%
59%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |