Milan vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.7%
Win probability
3.38
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.4%
3.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1962 |
ACM
8 - 0
ULU
85%
10%
5%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1962 |
PAR
0 - 1
ACM
19%
22%
59%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
SPA
0 - 3
ACM
19%
23%
59%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
ACM
4 - 2
TOR
84%
11%
5%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
ACM
1 - 0
MAN
85%
10%
5%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1962 |
ASS
2 - 3
VNZ
50%
24%
27%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
VNZ
3 - 0
JUV
19%
21%
60%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
PAD
1 - 1
VNZ
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
VNZ
2 - 2
CAT
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
INT
0 - 0
VNZ
85%
10%
5%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |