Milan vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
19.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1942 |
ACM
2 - 0
TRI
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
VIC
1 - 1
ACM
35%
22%
44%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1942 |
ACM
1 - 3
FIO
69%
17%
14%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
ROM
1 - 1
ACM
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
ACM
0 - 0
GEN
58%
21%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1942 |
VNZ
0 - 1
VIC
72%
15%
13%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
FIO
2 - 1
VNZ
56%
21%
23%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1942 |
VNZ
0 - 0
ROM
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1942 |
GEN
5 - 1
VNZ
62%
20%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
VNZ
1 - 1
JUV
52%
23%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |