Milan vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.2%
Win probability
3.5
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.2%
5.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
SAM
2 - 1
ACM
25%
23%
52%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
ACM
4 - 1
ROM
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
SPA
1 - 1
ACM
22%
23%
55%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
ACM
5 - 0
PAL
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
NOV
2 - 1
ACM
25%
22%
53%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
SPA
2 - 0
TRI
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
TRI
2 - 1
JUV
23%
23%
54%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
SAM
3 - 1
TRI
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
TRI
4 - 0
PRO
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
ROM
2 - 2
TRI
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |