Milan vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1940 |
LIV
1 - 0
ACM
42%
24%
34%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
ACM
0 - 1
INT
41%
25%
33%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
NOV
2 - 0
ACM
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
ACM
4 - 0
NAP
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
MOD
2 - 2
ACM
47%
23%
30%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1940 |
TRI
2 - 4
BAR
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
VNZ
4 - 3
TRI
63%
19%
18%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
TRI
3 - 3
ATL
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1940 |
TOR
2 - 1
TRI
71%
17%
12%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
TRI
2 - 3
LAZ
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |