Milan vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1934 |
LIV
0 - 2
ACM
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1934 |
ACM
2 - 2
INT
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1934 |
LAZ
1 - 4
ACM
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1934 |
ACM
0 - 0
TOR
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1934 |
SAM
0 - 0
ACM
61%
19%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1934 |
TRI
0 - 2
ROM
32%
25%
42%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1934 |
JUV
0 - 0
TRI
81%
12%
7%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1934 |
TRI
3 - 1
USA
50%
23%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1934 |
BOL
1 - 3
TRI
76%
15%
10%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 1934 |
TRI
1 - 1
PAL
53%
23%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |