Milan vs Pro Vercelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
11.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1935 |
PAL
1 - 0
ACM
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1935 |
ACM
4 - 4
ROM
42%
24%
34%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1935 |
JUV
1 - 0
ACM
79%
13%
8%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1935 |
ACM
2 - 2
USA
61%
20%
19%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1935 |
BOL
6 - 3
ACM
68%
18%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1935 |
ROM
3 - 2
LEO
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1935 |
LEO
0 - 1
JUV
33%
26%
40%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1935 |
USA
2 - 1
LEO
69%
17%
14%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1935 |
LEO
2 - 1
BOL
32%
25%
43%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1935 |
TRI
3 - 1
LEO
59%
22%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |