Milan vs Pro Vercelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
15.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
GEN
2 - 2
ACM
55%
22%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
ACM
1 - 3
INT
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
PAL
1 - 0
ACM
28%
22%
51%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
ACM
5 - 0
PRO
72%
16%
12%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
NAP
0 - 1
ACM
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
LEO
3 - 1
PAD
52%
21%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
TRI
2 - 1
LEO
51%
23%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
LEO
1 - 3
BOL
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
JUV
4 - 2
LEO
80%
12%
7%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1933 |
LEO
3 - 2
USA
56%
21%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |