Milan vs Pro Vercelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
15.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1932 |
GEN
1 - 2
ACM
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1932 |
ACM
2 - 1
BAR
68%
17%
14%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1932 |
MOD
2 - 1
ACM
35%
22%
43%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1932 |
ACM
2 - 2
BRE
71%
16%
13%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1932 |
NAP
3 - 1
ACM
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Vercelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1932 |
BRE
2 - 0
LEO
48%
22%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1932 |
LEO
1 - 2
JUV
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1932 |
LEO
1 - 1
USA
53%
21%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1932 |
MOD
2 - 0
LEO
47%
22%
31%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1932 |
LEO
1 - 1
TRI
65%
18%
16%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |