Milan vs Calcio Foggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
LEC
2 - 3
ACM
1%
16%
83%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1978 |
ACM
4 - 2
JUV
43%
27%
30%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1978 |
NAP
1 - 0
ACM
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1978 |
ACM
2 - 0
TAR
84%
11%
5%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
ACM
1 - 1
NAP
63%
23%
14%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
USF
1 - 2
FCC
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
SPA
3 - 0
USF
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
INT
2 - 1
USF
62%
24%
15%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
USF
4 - 0
VER
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
ATL
1 - 2
USF
52%
27%
21%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |