Milan vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
6.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
SAM
0 - 0
ACM
37%
23%
40%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
ACM
4 - 2
BAR
81%
12%
8%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
NAP
0 - 1
ACM
33%
23%
44%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
ACM
2 - 0
TRI
81%
12%
7%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1958 |
ACM
0 - 1
SAM
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
USA
1 - 3
PAD
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1958 |
USA
5 - 0
PIS
69%
18%
13%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
SPA
1 - 1
USA
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
USA
1 - 4
FIO
28%
26%
47%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
TOR
6 - 1
USA
72%
17%
12%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |