Milan vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1936 |
LAZ
3 - 0
ACM
60%
21%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1936 |
ACM
0 - 1
NAP
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
SAM
3 - 1
ACM
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
BRE
1 - 2
ACM
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
ACM
2 - 1
JUV
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1936 |
USA
0 - 1
BOL
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1936 |
USA
3 - 2
JUV
43%
24%
33%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
ROM
3 - 1
USA
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
USA
2 - 0
LAZ
50%
21%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
USA
2 - 0
BAR
66%
18%
16%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |