Champions League 1/16
Global 14-0
Milan vs Union Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.5%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.7%
5.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1962 |
PAR
0 - 1
ACM
19%
22%
59%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1962 |
SPA
0 - 3
ACM
19%
23%
59%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
ACM
4 - 2
TOR
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
ACM
1 - 0
MAN
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
ATL
0 - 2
ACM
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |