Milan vs Udinese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
AUS
1 - 5
ACM
31%
25%
44%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
LAZ
4 - 1
ACM
51%
24%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
ACM
2 - 1
CAG
72%
18%
11%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2017 |
SHK
0 - 1
ACM
20%
23%
56%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
CRO
0 - 3
ACM
20%
23%
57%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
UDI
1 - 0
GEN
48%
25%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
IST
0 - 1
UDI
16%
23%
62%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
SPA
3 - 2
UDI
35%
27%
37%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
UDI
1 - 2
CHI
53%
25%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
UDI
3 - 2
FRO
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |