Milan vs Udinese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
19.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
NAP
3 - 1
ACM
32%
28%
40%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
FCB
2 - 2
ACM
82%
13%
6%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
ACM
2 - 2
LAZ
64%
21%
15%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
ACM
2 - 1
JUV
65%
21%
15%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
MFF
2 - 2
ACM
27%
28%
45%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
UDI
2 - 0
FIO
51%
25%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
UDI
2 - 1
REN
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
LEC
0 - 2
UDI
27%
24%
49%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
UDI
1 - 2
ARS
25%
23%
51%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2011 |
ARS
1 - 0
UDI
67%
20%
14%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |