Milan vs Udinese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
ACM
1 - 2
NAP
66%
22%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1979 |
ACM
0 - 4
ROM
72%
19%
8%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
ACM
2 - 0
FIO
65%
22%
14%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
INT
2 - 0
ACM
46%
27%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
ACM
3 - 0
ASC
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
UDI
0 - 1
TOR
31%
31%
38%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1979 |
UDI
3 - 1
ASC
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
AVE
0 - 0
UDI
45%
30%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
UDI
0 - 0
ROM
49%
28%
23%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
JUV
1 - 1
UDI
82%
13%
6%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |