Milan vs Udinese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
7.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
PAL
0 - 0
ACM
21%
24%
55%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
ACM
3 - 0
CAT
83%
11%
6%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1961 |
ACM
0 - 0
VOJ
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
VIC
0 - 3
ACM
25%
24%
51%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
ACM
0 - 0
VIC
82%
12%
7%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
UDI
1 - 0
PAD
40%
26%
35%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
MAN
2 - 0
UDI
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
UDI
1 - 3
ROM
39%
25%
36%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
UDI
2 - 1
ATL
52%
25%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1961 |
SAM
3 - 2
UDI
63%
20%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |