Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 3-2
Milan vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
12.9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
SAL
1 - 2
ACM
25%
26%
49%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
ACM
3 - 0
BOL
54%
25%
21%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1998 |
TOR
2 - 0
ACM
26%
28%
46%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1998 |
FIO
2 - 0
ACM
56%
23%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1998 |
ACM
1 - 1
PAR
42%
28%
30%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
TER
2 - 1
TOR
18%
24%
58%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
TOR
3 - 0
RAV
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1998 |
TOR
2 - 0
ACM
26%
28%
46%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
USC
3 - 2
TOR
30%
28%
42%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1998 |
TOR
2 - 1
ALZ
82%
14%
4%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |