Milan vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1964 |
ACM
1 - 0
STR
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
VIC
2 - 3
ACM
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
MAN
0 - 4
ACM
18%
24%
58%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
ACM
1 - 1
CAT
79%
13%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1964 |
STR
2 - 0
ACM
27%
23%
50%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
TOR
1 - 1
ATL
58%
23%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1964 |
TOR
3 - 1
FOR
61%
20%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
VAR
2 - 0
TOR
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
TOR
2 - 0
MAN
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1964 |
ROM
0 - 0
TOR
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |