Milan vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
6.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1956 |
ROM
0 - 0
ACM
30%
23%
47%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1956 |
ACM
4 - 2
NOV
84%
11%
6%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1956 |
JUV
0 - 0
ACM
39%
22%
39%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1956 |
ACM
2 - 1
RMA
58%
20%
23%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1956 |
ACM
3 - 3
PRO
81%
12%
8%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1956 |
TOR
2 - 0
PAD
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1956 |
TOR
0 - 0
SPA
60%
22%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1956 |
ROM
2 - 1
TOR
62%
21%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1956 |
TOR
2 - 2
GEN
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
PRO
1 - 1
TOR
33%
26%
41%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |