Milan vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1940 |
ROM
1 - 2
ACM
60%
22%
19%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1940 |
ACM
1 - 1
TRI
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1940 |
LIV
1 - 0
ACM
42%
24%
34%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
ACM
0 - 1
INT
41%
25%
33%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
NOV
2 - 0
ACM
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1940 |
TOR
4 - 0
BAR
70%
17%
14%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1940 |
VNZ
2 - 2
TOR
46%
22%
32%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1940 |
TOR
1 - 1
ATL
76%
14%
11%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1940 |
BOL
3 - 0
TOR
64%
20%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1940 |
ROM
4 - 1
TOR
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |