Milan vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1933 |
TRI
2 - 2
ACM
43%
25%
33%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1933 |
ACM
1 - 0
ROM
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1933 |
INT
3 - 0
ACM
78%
13%
9%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1933 |
ACM
2 - 2
PAD
76%
13%
11%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1933 |
ACM
4 - 0
BRE
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1933 |
TOR
0 - 1
BOL
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1933 |
LEO
1 - 0
TOR
45%
23%
32%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1933 |
TOR
5 - 0
LIV
77%
13%
10%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1933 |
CAS
3 - 2
TOR
32%
24%
44%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1933 |
TOR
1 - 1
LAZ
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |