Milan vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
LAZ
3 - 0
ACM
38%
27%
35%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
ACM
4 - 0
VAR
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1974 |
CES
1 - 0
ACM
20%
27%
53%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
ACM
3 - 0
BOL
64%
22%
14%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
CAG
0 - 0
ACM
25%
28%
47%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
TER
2 - 2
ROM
40%
31%
29%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
JUV
2 - 0
TER
85%
11%
4%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1974 |
TER
1 - 0
ASC
54%
26%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
TER
0 - 0
NAP
38%
31%
32%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
INT
1 - 0
TER
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |