Milan vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
8.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
VAR
0 - 0
ACM
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
ACM
5 - 0
BOL
58%
26%
16%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
ASS
1 - 4
ACM
27%
29%
44%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
ACM
3 - 1
BAR
65%
23%
12%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
CAM
0 - 2
ACM
25%
27%
48%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1982 |
CAV
1 - 0
CAT
40%
29%
30%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1982 |
ATL
2 - 1
CAV
57%
24%
20%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1982 |
CAV
0 - 0
ARZ
51%
24%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1982 |
PIS
1 - 1
CAV
60%
25%
15%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
CAV
1 - 0
VAR
34%
29%
37%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |