Milan vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.8%
24.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1953 |
ATL
1 - 1
ACM
28%
24%
48%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
ACM
1 - 1
BOL
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
ACM
5 - 1
TOR
81%
11%
8%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
FIO
0 - 3
ACM
29%
24%
47%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
COM
3 - 1
ACM
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1953 |
SCP
2 - 2
LGC
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
ACA
1 - 2
SCP
30%
21%
49%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
SCP
3 - 0
ACA
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
ACA
0 - 1
SCP
23%
20%
57%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
SCP
1 - 0
VST
90%
7%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |