Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Milan vs Spartak Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.1%
Win probability
3.65
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.1%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.6%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.3%
3.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
INT
0 - 2
ACM
44%
28%
29%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
ACM
2 - 0
FIO
75%
17%
9%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1973 |
SPA
0 - 1
ACM
27%
25%
48%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1973 |
VIC
0 - 3
ACM
17%
29%
53%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
ACM
2 - 2
JUV
62%
22%
16%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1973 |
SPA
0 - 1
ACM
27%
25%
48%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
SPA
1 - 2
ATM
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1972 |
ATM
3 - 4
SPA
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
ADO
0 - 0
SPA
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1972 |
SPA
1 - 0
ADO
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |