Cup Winners Cup Semi-finals
Global 2-0
Milan vs Sparta Praha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.7%
Win probability
3.45
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.3%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.7%
4.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
SAM
1 - 4
ACM
15%
30%
56%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1973 |
ACM
3 - 1
ROM
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1973 |
ACM
1 - 1
SPA
89%
7%
3%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
INT
0 - 2
ACM
44%
28%
29%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
ACM
2 - 0
FIO
75%
17%
9%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1973 |
SPA
3 - 0
S04
63%
19%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1973 |
S04
2 - 1
SPA
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
SPA
4 - 1
FTC
55%
22%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1972 |
FTC
2 - 0
SPA
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1972 |
SPA
4 - 2
SDL
49%
25%
27%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |