Milan vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
12%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
7.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1960 |
ACM
2 - 2
BOL
76%
14%
10%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1960 |
JUV
3 - 1
ACM
69%
16%
15%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1960 |
ACM
1 - 0
LAZ
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1960 |
SAM
2 - 1
ACM
33%
24%
44%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
PAL
1 - 0
ACM
22%
24%
55%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1960 |
ATL
2 - 2
SPA
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1960 |
SPA
0 - 0
GEN
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1960 |
FIO
3 - 1
SPA
80%
13%
7%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1960 |
LAZ
3 - 1
SPA
54%
23%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
SPA
1 - 1
SAM
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |