Milan vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
6.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1958 |
ACM
4 - 0
MUD
57%
20%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1958 |
FIO
4 - 3
ACM
41%
24%
35%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1958 |
MUD
2 - 1
ACM
53%
21%
26%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
ACM
2 - 0
VER
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
ROM
3 - 3
ACM
35%
24%
41%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1958 |
LAZ
1 - 1
SPA
68%
18%
13%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1958 |
SPA
1 - 1
PAD
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
FIO
3 - 0
SPA
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
VER
1 - 2
SPA
57%
23%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1958 |
SPA
0 - 1
TOR
47%
25%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |