Milan vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
34.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
GEN
0 - 3
ACM
17%
24%
59%
|
92 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
REG
2 - 0
ACM
18%
25%
58%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2007 |
ACM
2 - 1
LIV
51%
24%
26%
|
92 | 92 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
ACM
2 - 3
UDI
72%
18%
10%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
CAT
1 - 1
ACM
16%
24%
60%
|
93 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
SEV
4 - 1
GET
66%
21%
13%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
RMA
3 - 5
SEV
55%
22%
23%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
SEV
2 - 0
AEK
77%
16%
7%
|
93 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
SEV
1 - 0
RMA
39%
24%
37%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2007 |
SEV
1 - 0
GET
72%
17%
11%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |