Milan vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
10.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
CHI
2 - 1
ACM
17%
25%
57%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2005 |
ACM
3 - 1
BRE
78%
15%
7%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
ACM
2 - 1
LEC
79%
14%
7%
|
93 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2005 |
FEN
0 - 4
ACM
32%
27%
41%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
FIO
3 - 1
ACM
20%
26%
54%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
ARB
0 - 1
S04
26%
26%
48%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
S04
2 - 1
BRE
37%
25%
38%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2005 |
S04
3 - 0
PSV
41%
26%
33%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
KOL
2 - 2
S04
26%
26%
48%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
S04
3 - 0
MSV
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |