Intercontinental Final
Global 6-7
Milan vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
7.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
ACM
3 - 1
GEN
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
TOR
0 - 0
ACM
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1963 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ACM
19%
23%
59%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
ACM
3 - 0
MES
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
MAN
1 - 4
ACM
20%
24%
57%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1963 |
BOC
1 - 2
SAN
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1963 |
SAN
3 - 2
BOC
75%
14%
10%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1963 |
BOT
0 - 4
SAN
53%
21%
26%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1963 |
SAN
1 - 1
BOT
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1962 |
SLB
2 - 5
SAN
85%
9%
6%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |