Milan vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
UDI
2 - 1
ACM
23%
24%
53%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
JUV
2 - 1
ACM
64%
21%
16%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
ACM
1 - 2
NAP
36%
26%
38%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2017 |
TOR
2 - 2
ACM
41%
24%
35%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2017 |
ACM
2 - 1
TOR
57%
24%
20%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SAM
3 - 2
ROM
18%
22%
60%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 0
SAM
60%
22%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2017 |
ROM
4 - 0
SAM
80%
13%
7%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SAM
0 - 0
EMP
60%
23%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
NAP
2 - 1
SAM
81%
13%
6%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |