Milan vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
LAZ
0 - 1
ACM
49%
25%
26%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2004 |
SPA
0 - 0
ACM
32%
28%
40%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
ACM
3 - 2
INT
53%
24%
23%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
LEC
1 - 1
ACM
18%
26%
56%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
LAZ
4 - 0
ACM
47%
26%
27%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
SAM
1 - 0
CHI
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
SAM
1 - 2
PAR
29%
26%
45%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
BRE
1 - 1
SAM
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
SAM
2 - 2
INT
22%
25%
53%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
LAZ
1 - 1
SAM
75%
17%
9%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |