Milan vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
FIO
2 - 2
ACM
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1976 |
ACM
0 - 2
NAP
63%
22%
14%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1976 |
SAM
0 - 2
ACM
30%
28%
42%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
ACM
2 - 3
CAG
76%
17%
8%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
LAZ
4 - 0
ACM
36%
27%
38%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
NAP
2 - 1
SAM
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1976 |
SAM
3 - 3
FIO
34%
26%
41%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1976 |
SAM
0 - 2
ACM
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
SAM
2 - 1
NAP
30%
30%
40%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
JUV
2 - 0
SAM
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |