Milan vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.1%
1-0
16%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
7.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1970 |
NAP
1 - 1
ACM
35%
30%
35%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
ACM
0 - 1
INT
51%
25%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
BOL
0 - 1
ACM
37%
30%
33%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
ROM
0 - 1
ACM
34%
29%
37%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
ACM
1 - 0
PAL
79%
16%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1970 |
SAM
2 - 0
ROM
37%
31%
33%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1970 |
BRE
0 - 0
SAM
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
SAM
1 - 0
BAR
56%
28%
17%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
NAP
0 - 2
SAM
64%
22%
15%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
SAM
0 - 2
LAZ
54%
29%
17%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |