Milan vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
ATL
0 - 0
ACM
23%
25%
52%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
JUV
1 - 2
ACM
41%
25%
35%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
ACM
2 - 1
VIC
81%
13%
7%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
ACM
1 - 1
INT
58%
21%
21%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
MOD
0 - 1
ACM
17%
23%
59%
|
89 | 68 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
SAM
1 - 1
MOD
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
BAR
2 - 1
SAM
38%
28%
35%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
SAM
3 - 1
SPA
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
GEN
0 - 1
SAM
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
SAM
1 - 1
MAN
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |