Milan vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
13%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1961 |
VOJ
2 - 0
ACM
41%
23%
36%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
BOL
1 - 0
ACM
35%
23%
42%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
ACM
4 - 3
UDI
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
PAL
0 - 0
ACM
21%
24%
55%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
ACM
3 - 0
CAT
83%
11%
6%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
SAM
1 - 0
MAN
76%
14%
9%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
CAT
2 - 0
SAM
30%
25%
46%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1961 |
SAM
1 - 0
ROM
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
FIO
0 - 0
SAM
70%
17%
14%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
SAM
2 - 0
TOR
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |